/mo, Ridgemark Dr and S Ridgemark Dr, Gubernot, D. M., G. B. Anderson, and K. L. Hunting, 2015: Characterizing occupational heat-related mortality in the United States, 20002010: An analysis using the census of fatal occupational injuries database. Dale, V. H., L. A. Joyce, S. McNulty, R. P. Neilson, M. P. Ayres, M. D. Flannigan, P. J. Hanson, L. C. Irland, A. E. Lugo, C. J. Peterson, D. Simberloff, F. J. Swanson, B. J. In. 2017,103 Box 9.1). Stevens, P. W., D. A. Blewett, R. E. Boucek, J. S. Rehage, B. L. Winner, J. M. Young, J. 15: Tribes, KM 3). Wyman, M., S. Malone, T. Stein, and C. Johnson, 2012: Race and wildfire risk perceptions among rural forestland owners in north-central Florida. Residents enjoy world-class dining and shopping as well as art and cultural experiences at the Smith Center for Performing Arts and T-Mobile Arena. USDA Agricultural Research Service, Washington, DC, 61 pp. Stewart (eds.)]. Davis, M. B., and R. G. Shaw, 2001: Range shifts and adaptive responses to quaternary climate change. In addition to providing habitat for fish and wildlife species, ecosystems in the Southeast provide recreational opportunities, improve water quality, provide seafood, reduce erosion, provide timber, support food webs, minimize flooding impacts, and support high rates of carbon sequestration (or storage).118,119,120 These ecological resources that people depend on for livelihoods, protection, and well-being are increasingly at risk from the impacts of climate change. The growing number of extreme rainfall events is stressing the deteriorating infrastructure in the Southeast. It pays to understand how to secure a home loanespecially if you're a first-time buyer. Justice, and J. R. G. Townshend, 2013: High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change. 20: U.S. Caribbean, KM 3). Between August 1115 2016, nearly half of southern Louisiana received at least 1214 inches of rainfall. The Southeast has the second highest number of farmworkers hired per year compared to other National Climate Assessment (NCA) regions.251 Climate trends and possible climate futures show patterns that are already impactingand are expected to further impactrural sectors, from agriculture and forestry to human health and labor productivity (Ch. B. Smith, W. Perkins, L. Jantarasami, and J. Martinich, 2015: Climate change risks to US infrastructure: Impacts on roads, bridges, coastal development, and urban drainage. Barbier, E. B., S. D. Hacker, C. Kennedy, E. W. Koch, A. C. Stier, and B. R. Silliman, 2011: The value of estuarine and coastal ecosystem services. Global Change Research Program 1800 G Street, NW, Suite 9100, Washington, DC 20006 USA Tel: +1 202.223.6262 | Fax: +1 202.223.3065, Contact Us ), medium consensus, Suggestive evidence (a few sources, limited consistency, models incomplete, methods emerging, etc. Zhang, Y., and Y. Wang, 2016: Climate-driven ground-level ozone extreme in the fall over the Southeast United States. A. Patz, 2007: Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities. Over the past 50 years, the resultant gross damage and lost wages have totaled more than $1.53 billion (dollar year not specified). Scientific Investigations Map 3381. Clark, P. U., A. S. Dyke, J. D. Shakun, A. E. Carlson, J. Clark, B. Wohlfarth, J. X. Mitrovica, S. W. Hostetler, and A. M. McCabe, 2009: The last glacial maximum. However, these beaches and bayous, fields and forests, and cities and small towns are all at risk from a changing climate. Rural communities are integral to the Southeasts cultural heritage and to the strong agricultural and forest products industries across the region. Gill, S. E., J. F. Handley, A. R. Ennos, and S. Pauleit, 2007: Adapting cities for climate change: The role of the green infrastructure. US Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 278 pp. Sustain Louisville, 2017: 2016 progress report. B. Hollowed, N. Knowlton, J. Polovina, N. N. Rabalais, W. J. Sydeman, and L. D. Talley, 2012: Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems. Such changes would negatively impact the regions labor-intensive agricultural industry and compound existing social stresses in rural areas related to limited local community capabilities and associated with rural demography, occupations, earnings, literacy, and poverty incidence (very likely, high confidence). Mitsch, W. J., and J. G. Gosselink, 2007: Wetlands. Hauer, M. E., 2017: Migration induced by sea-level rise could reshape the US population landscape. Partridge, T. F., J. M. Winter, E. C. Osterberg, D. W. Hyndman, A. D. Kendall, and F. J. Magilligan, 2018: Spatially distinct seasonal patterns and forcings of the U.S. warming hole. Fu, T.-M., Y. Zheng, F. Paulot, J. Mao, and R. M. Yantosca, 2015: Positive but variable sensitivity of August surface ozone to large-scale warming in the southeast United States. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, various pp. Explore exceptional new homes in Hollister, CA, built by Century Communitiesa top 10 U.S. homebuilder. Fire has historically played an important role in the region, and ecological diversity in many southeastern natural systems is dependent upon fire.115,116,134,189 Although the total area burned by wildfire is greatest in the western United States, the Southeast has the largest area burned by prescribed fire (see Case Study Prescribed Fire) and the highest number of wildfires.134,190 In the future, rising temperatures and increases in the duration and intensity of drought are expected to increase wildfire occurrence and also reduce the effectiveness of prescribed fire.3,4,5,6 Moreover, rapid urban expansion near managed forests has the potential to reduce opportunities to use prescribed fire, which could lead to native species declines, increased wildfire occurrence, and economic and health impacts.134,191. Pierce, D. W., D. R. Cayan, and B. L. Thrasher, 2014: Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA). Welcome to Polo Ranch, a new home community featuring inspired new houses for sale in Fulshear, TX, from Century Communities, one of the nation's top 10 homebuilders. Spanger-Siegfried, E., M. Fitzpatrick, and K. Dahl, 2014: Encroaching Tides: How Sea Level Rise and Tidal Flooding Threaten U.S. East and Gulf Coast Communities over the Next 30 Years. There are still gaps in knowledge regarding the potential effects of climate change on cities across the Southeast. Kreye, J. K., J. M. Varner, J. K. Hiers, and J. Mola, 2013: Toward a mechanism for eastern North American forest mesophication: Differential litter drying across 17 species. Check this option to remember this device the next time you sign in to skip two-factor authentication (not recommended for public devices). It pays to understand how to secure a home loanespecially if you're a first-time buyer. Clemson Cooperative Extension, 2018: About Peaches. Carolinas Integrated Sciences and Assessments, Columbia, SC, accessed June 4. Abatzoglou, J. T., and A. P. Williams, 2016: Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests. The number of extreme rainfall events is increasing. The conditions for raising and harvesting crops and livestock are projected to change. Get a feel for the neighborhood and find the right homesite for you. From October 15, 2015, deep tropical moisture combined with a slow-moving (stalled) upper-level low pressure system to pump moisture into South Carolinas coastal and interior regions. Osland, M. J., N. Enwright, R. H. Day, and T. W. Doyle, 2013: Winter climate change and coastal wetland foundation species: Salt marshes vs. mangrove forests in the southeastern United States. Permission of the copyright owner must be obtained. Multimodel averages of climate model simulations (CMIP3 [SRES A2] and CMIP5 [RCP8.5] higher scenarios) show that there is a greater risk of drier summers by the middle of the century in the western portion of the Southeast and in southern Florida, while wetter fall seasons are more likely in the eastern portion of the region.257. certainty in Key Findings. Many in rural communities are maintaining connections to traditional livelihoods and relying on natural resources that are inherently vulnerable to climate changes. Colorado is home to a vibrant dining and entertainment scene with the most breweries per capita in the United States, champion sports teams, endless miles of hiking and biking trails in 42 state parks and multiple world-class ski resorts. Woodroffe, C. D., K. Rogers, K. L. McKee, C. E. Lovelock, I. Lock in your dream home through our convenient and completely online Buy Now process. The Miami area nearly matched the 2015 record of 18 days.61 This increase in high tide flooding frequency is directly tied to sea level rise. Receive up to $2,500 toward options or the price of your home* as a Thank You! Lal, P., J. R. R. Alavalapati, and E. D. Mercer, 2011: Socio-economic impacts of climate change on rural United States. Recent social science studies have indicated that people may migrate from many coastal communities that are vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise, high tide flooding, saltwater intrusion, and storm surge.71 Even though many communities are starting to develop adaptation strategies to address current flooding issues, many adaptation strategies are not being designed for longer time horizons and more extreme worst-case climate scenarios.1,67, For the United States, 2017 was a historic year for weather and climate disasters, with widespread impacts and lingering costs. EPA 430R17001. Sweet, W., J. U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, 58 pp. Coral reef mortality in the Florida Keys and across the globe has been very high in recent decades, due in part to warming ocean temperatures, nutrient enrichment, overfishing, and coastal development.240,241,242,243,244 Coral elevation and volume in the Florida Keys have been declining in recent decades,245 and present-day temperatures in the region are already close to bleaching thresholds; hence, it is likely that many of the remaining coral reefs in the Southeast will be lost in the coming decades.246,247 In addition to warming temperatures, accelerated ocean acidification is also expected to contribute to coral reef mortality and decline.248,249. 93631, Begin typing to search, the field will be completed as you type, Kingsburg, Avery, D.R. For example, in Norfolk, Virginia, local relative sea level rise has led to a fourfold increase in the probability of exceeding NWS thresholds compared to the 1960s (Figure 19.8). The Port of Jacksonville provides raw material for industries, food, clothes, and essential goods to Puerto Rico, thus impacting the U.S. Caribbean region, as well (Ch. A., L. S. Kutner, and J. S. Adams, Eds., 2000: Precious Heritage: The Status of Biodiversity in the United States. You'll also fall in love with this community's gentle rolling hills and mature trees. Infrastructure related to drinking water treatment and wastewater treatment may be compromised by climate-related events (Ch. Photography is the art, application, and practice of creating durable images by recording light, either electronically by means of an image sensor, or chemically by means of a light-sensitive material such as photographic film.It is employed in many fields of science, manufacturing (e.g., photolithography), and business, as well as its more direct uses for art, film and video For example, in South Florida, the Burmese python and the Brazilian pepper tree are two freeze-sensitive, nonnative species that have, respectively, decimated mammal populations and transformed native plant communities within Everglades National Park.180,181,182,183,184,185,186,187,188 In the future, warmer winter temperatures are expected to facilitate the northward movement of these problematic invasive species, which would transform natural systems north of their current distribution. Yando, E. S., M. J. Osland, J. M. Willis, R. H. Day, K. W. Krauss, and M. W. Hester, 2016: Salt marsh-mangrove ecotones: Using structural gradients to investigate the effects of woody plant encroachment on plantsoil interactions and ecosystem carbon pools. CA, Selma, EcoAdapt, Bainbridge Island, WA, 214 pp. Smith, A. The difference between the average daily temperature and 65F is the number of cooling or heating degrees for that day. 93631. Drew, 2001: Productivity and species richness across an environmental gradient in a fire-dependent ecosystem. The rainfall sparked inland flooding that led to three dam breaches and the destruction of countless roads and homes (see Figure 19.13 showing flash flooding impacts to inland roads). Over the last century, invasive insects, logging, and pathogens have transformed forests in the region. 10: Ag & Rural, KM 3). Hauer, M. E., J. M. Evans, and D. R. Mishra, 2016: Millions projected to be at risk from sea-level rise in the continental United States. The depth of discussion for any particular topic and Key Message is dependent on the availability of supporting literature and chapter length limitations. This Friday, were taking a look at Microsoft and Sonys increasingly bitter feud over Call of Duty and whether U.K. regulators are leaning toward torpedoing the Activision Blizzard deal. Guo, H., C. Weaver, S. P. Charles, A. Whitt, S. Dastidar, P. D'Odorico, J. D. Fuentes, J. S. Kominoski, A. R. Armitage, and S. C. Pennings, 2017: Coastal regime shifts: Rapid responses of coastal wetlands to changes in mangrove cover. 9: Oceans, KM 1). Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley, Eds. Griffith, J. While 2017 tied the previous record year of 2011 for the total number of billion-dollar weather and climate disasters16the year broke the all-time previous record high costs by reaching $306.2 billion in damages (in 2017 dollars; $297 billion in 2015 dollars). With wildfire projected to increase in the Southeast,6,191 prescribed fire (the purposeful ignition of low-intensity fires in a controlled setting), remains the most effective tool for reducing wildfire risk.4,195 Department of Defense (DoD) lands represent the largest reservoirs of biodiversity and native ecosystems in the region.117 Military activities are a frequent source of wildfires, but increases in prescribed fire acres (Figure 19.19) show a corresponding decrease in wildfire ignitions for DoD.4 Climate resilience by DoD is further achieved through restoration of native longleaf pine forests that occupy a wide range of site types, including wetland and well-drained soilsthe latter leading many to characterize this forest as being drought resistant.196,197,198,199 In addition to proactive adaptation through prescribed fire, DoD has been a leader in climate strategies that include regional conservation planning, ecosystem management, endangered species recovery, and research funding. Cities across the Southeast are experiencing more and longer summer heat waves. NC Rural Health Research Program, 2017: Rural Hospital Closures: January 2010Present. NOAA Technical Report NOS CO-OPS 073. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Office of Atmospheric Programs, Washington, DC, 93 pp. Clemson University, Clemson, SC. City of Charleston, 2015: Sea level rise strategy. NWS, What Are Heating and Cooling Degree Days [web page]. Lovelock, C. E., K. W. Krauss, M. J. Osland, R. Reef, and M. C. Ball, 2016: The physiology of mangrove trees with changing climate. For example, citrus species are sensitive to freezing and chilling temperatures.148 However, in the future, climate change is expected to enable the survival of citrus in areas that are north of the current tolerance zone.142, The effects of changing winters reach far beyond just agricultural and garden plants. Use this form to get in touch with one of Century Communities' offices! While the Southeast is historically known for having a rural nature, a drastic shift toward a more urbanized region is underway. Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005: Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Synthesis. WUCA Strategic Planning Committee, 2016: Water Utility Climate Alliance 20172021 Strategic Plan. SFRCCC, 2017: Regional Climate Action Plan 2.0 [web tool]. See for yourself what our Century Communities homeowners are saying about their dream homes! The combined effects of changing extreme rainfall events and sea level rise are already increasing flood frequencies, which impacts property values and infrastructure viability, particularly in coastal cities. 5: Vector-borne diseases . For example, shrimping, oystering, and fishing along the coast are long-standing traditions in the coastal economy that are expected to face substantial challenges. Washington, DC, 97 pp. U.S. Department of Defense, Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program, Alexandria VA, 224 pp. 6: Forests, KM 3 for additional discussion on forest change impacts on rural landscapes. Communes, collectives, and intentional communities regained popularity during this era. Boasting a versatile selection of single- and two-story floor plans, on generous homesites large enough to accommodate a pool, Monarch is an exceptional community to call home. As a result, future generations can expect to experience, interact with, and potentially benefit from natural systems that are much different than those that we see today (Ch. In the southern Appalachians, ramps are threatened by two major processes: overharvesting pressures and a changing climate that could expose these plants to higher temperatures and lower soil moisture conditions during sensitive growth periods (Ch. Reef, R., and C. E. Lovelock, 2015: Regulation of water balance in mangroves. Gonzalez, C. G., A. Kaswan, R. Verchick, Y. Huang, N. Jamhour, and S. Bowen, 2016: Climate Change, Resilience, and Fairness: How Nonstructural Adaptation Can Protect and Empower Socially Vulnerable Communities on the Gulf Coast. Allen, C. D., A. K. Macalady, H. Chenchouni, D. Bachelet, N. McDowell, M. Vennetier, T. Kitzberger, A. Rigling, D. D. Breshears, E. H. Hogg, P. Gonzalez, R. Fensham, Z. Zhang, J. Castro, N. Demidova, J.-H. Lim, G. Allard, S. W. Running, A. Semerci, and N. Cobb, 2010: A global overview of drought and heat-induced tree mortality reveals emerging climate change risks for forests. Comeaux, R. S., M. A. Allison, and T. S. Bianchi, 2012: Mangrove expansion in the Gulf of Mexico with climate change: Implications for wetland health and resistance to rising sea levels. USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Washington, DC, 11 pp. Begin typing to search, the field will be completed as you type. 2010 census results varied dramatically with previous Census Bureau estimates, counting 420,003 residents. These areas are linked through many processes, commuting patterns, and shared central services, such as airports and hospitals, that connect the risks. Changes in winter air temperature patterns are one aspect of climate change that will play an especially important role in the Southeast. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, DC, 59 pp. 17: Southeast and the Caribbean. B. C. Jackson, 2017: Ghost reefs: Nautical charts document large spatial scale of coral reef loss over 240 years. By the later 1960s, previously under-regarded FM radio replaced AM radio as the focal point for the ongoing explosion of rock and roll music, and became the nexus of youth-oriented news and advertising for the counterculture generation.. Changing lifestyles. Climate change tends to compound existing vulnerabilities and exacerbate existing inequities. It is estimated that with a meter (about 3.3 feet) of sea level rise, the Southeast would lose over 13,000 recorded historic and prehistoric archaeological sites and more than 1,000 locations currently eligible for inclusion on the National Register of Historic Places.66 This includes many historic buildings and forts in cities like Charleston, Savannah, and St. Augustine. A., 1997: A History of Florida Citrus Freezes. Emergency warranty issue? Emergency warranty issue? Get the details>. 2: Our Changing Climate. 32034, Begin typing to search, the field will be completed as you type, Fernandina Beach, Carter, L., A. Terando, K. Dow, K. Hiers, K.E. A closer look at the August 2016 event in Louisiana provides an example of how vulnerable inland communities in the Southeast region are to these extreme rainfall events. Read the definitions of emergencieshere. 2010), Littell, J. S., D. L. Peterson, K. L. Riley, Y. Liu, and C. H. Luce, 2016: A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States. Despite warming, low winter temperatures may prevent permanent year-round establishment of the virus across the region.31 Strategies such as management of urban wetlands have resulted in lower dengue fever risk in Puerto Rico.32 Similar adaptation strategies have the potential to limit vector-borne disease in southeastern cities, particularly those cities with characteristics similar to Caribbean cities that have already implemented vector control strategies (Ch. van der Wiel, K., S. B. Kapnick, G. J. van Oldenborgh, K. Whan, S. Philip, G. A. Vecchi, R. K. Singh, J. Arrighi, and H. Cullen, 2017: Rapid attribution of theAugust 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change. Wells, E. C. Kansa, S. W. Kansa, K. N. Myers, R. C. DeMuth, and D. A. I. Aboveground net primary productivity. Abkowitz, M., J. Explore exceptional new homes in Fernandina Beach at Concourse Crossing by Century Communities! Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, and G. Branstator, 2012: Mechanisms contributing to the warming hole and the consequent US east-west differential of heat extremes. I understand that my request for service will be reviewed and I will receive communication whether my requested item/s are covered by warranty or fall outside those guidelines. Get the details>. Houghton, A., J. Austin, A. Beerman, and C. Horton, 2017: An approach to developing local climate change environmental public health indicators in a rural district. 10: Ag & Rural, KM 3). These beaches and bayous, fields and forests, and cities and small towns are all at risk from a changing climate. Drought and extreme heat can result in tree mortality and transform southeastern forested ecosystems.217,218,219,220,221,222,223 Drought can also affect aquatic and wetland ecosystems.224,225,226,227,228,229,232 Extreme rainfall events are also expected to become more frequent and severe in the future. Zhou, Y., and J. M. Shepherd, 2010: Atlanta's urban heat island under extreme heat conditions and potential mitigation strategies. McKenney, D. W., J. H. Pedlar, K. Lawrence, P. Papadopol, K. Campbell, and M. F. Hutchinson, 2014: Change and evolution in the plant hardiness zones of Canada. Est. Isle de Jean Charles Tribe, 2017: Bienvenue, Aiokpanchi, Welcome to Isle de Jean Charles [web site]. The scope and scale of adaptation efforts, which are already underway, will affect future vulnerability and risk. The main crosstown traffic artery in Charleston, South Carolina (U.S. 17 Septima Clark Parkwaycrosstown), has historically been susceptible to flooding events (Figure 19.9). 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