The sea-lanes that pass through the South China Sea are the busiest, most important, maritime waterways in the world. The 1982 Convention on the Law of the Sea is an international treaty that sets out importantmaritime rules. In recent years, U.S. military planners have shifted their focus from counterterrorism, low intensity conflict to great power, high intensity threats. The strategic importance of the SCS is mainly due to its geographical location, as the area is one of the worlds busiest and most strategic shipping lanes. The Balloon Incident and Evolution of Espionage. Three years ago an arbitration tribunal issued a decision finding that Chinas maritime claims in the South China Sea are inconsistent with the Law of the Sea Convention. Current developments in the South China Sea must be understood against the backdrop of recent history. When Beijing froze banana imports from the Philippines in the midst of the Scarborough Shoal standoff in 2012, it sent a clear message to its Southeast Asian neighbors: economic ties would not be immune from diplomatic contretemps. Beijing has also been careful to avoid estranging Aung San Suu Kyi and adopted a largely pragmatic approach to the countrys transition away from authoritarian rule. 1994 The Convention on the Law of the Sea goes into effect. The Art of War helps expose the motivation behind past, current, and future Chinese actions. First, the United States should feel more confident to pressure the junta on human rights concerns. More than 50% of world trade passes. "First, South China Sea is important for the strategic patrol of Chinese SSBN [nuclear ballistic missile submarine], which needs to enter west Pacific Ocean for its nuclear . Pexels India-China Indo-Pacific South China Sea Signalling is important international relations. The strategic landscape of the Western Pacific and Southeast Asia in the early 1990s was remarkably benign with optimism in full flower. - Interview with Mei Gechlik, Pelosi's visit to Taiwan Spiking Tensions Between the U.S. and China: an interview with Andrew K.P. See Media Page for more interview, contact, and citation details. Tokyo and Manila agreed to a strategic partnership in 2011. U.S. goals to uphold regional alliances and partnerships, defend international rules and norms, and maintain a productive relationship with China remain valid. Chinas claims over the legal status and maritime rights of the 9 dash line remain ambiguous and outside of UN recognised EEZ claims. The SCS is passage of half of the world trade. It would also open the option of persistently jamming Chinese radar installations in the Spratlys. Strategic Landscape of the South China Sea: While geopolitics indicates geographical relations with politics, there is another importance which is strategic. Should they be neutral, China may lord over the southern reaches of the South China Sea from military bases on its newly created and expanded islands in the Spratlys. by Geoffrey Hartman This has continued in to the present day. Second, the United States should feel comfortable adopting a patient approach in pushing a return to full democracy in Thailand. Without the southern American presence, Chinese forces could more easily divide American forces east and west in the event of a crisis, more easily defend territorial claims or intimidate Malaysia and Indonesia, and more easily threaten maritime and air traffic crisscrossing the South China Sea. It is one in which China dominates the South China Sea from the north; the United States and its partners dominate the eastern and western edges of the sea; and the bulk of continental Southeast Asian states (Thailand, Cambodia and Laos) are either neutral or aligned more closely with China. Historically, Taiwan's pivotal location off the China coast and between Northeast and Southeast Asia has served a variety of strategic purposes for regional powers, both offensive and defensive. Cobra Gold, hosted by Thailand and led by the United States, is the largest annual multilateral military exercise in Asia. Chinas significant increase in spending and capability of its maritime forces is of note. Rival countries have wrangled over territory in the South China Sea for centuries, but tension has steadily increased in recent years. Most of China's contested land borders were remote areas with few people, natural resources or clear military utility. During the George W. Bush administration, U.S. forces in the Philippines were focused primarily on aiding the Philippine military in its counterterror fight. However, there were a number of reasons to conclude that the line was no cartographic anomaly; it was an official indication of Beijings contention that the sovereign territory of China included the South China Sea. In such a complex environment, it is important to have well-established, recognizable rules of international law. The end of the Cold War found East Asia and the Western Pacific strategically quiescent. access to Thailands military facilities, particularly the strategically located and well-equipped Utapao airbase, is considered invaluable. Figure 4 shows the overlapping sovereignty claims in the SCS, with Chinas claims according to the 9 dash line doctrine in red. The purpose of this thesis is to examine the South China Sea dispute and to analyze why the dispute has yet to escalate, as well as the strategic importance of the South China Sea dispute to international trade. U.S. military advantage is of limited utility in this area and Washington has struggled to convince local partners to join in freedom of navigation operations. . Notably, the paper identified Malaysia's maritime claims in the South China Sea as its top security concern. Nevertheless, Beijing had taken its first overt step to control the South China Sea. Media Relations Manager, External Relations. Any temptation to alter U.S. policies in the South China Sea to preserve cooperation with China in other areas is unnecessary and potentially counterproductive. Coral reefs, which are vital to marine habitats, have been declining by 16 percent per decade, according to a report from the Center for Strategic and International Studies. As sovereignty over the SCS involves Chinas economic, energy and national security interests it is highly likely that the increased projection of maritime power will continue. . Burma, however, is a potential bright spot for the U.S. position in continental Southeast Asia. The sea is rich in resources and holds significant strategic and political importance. These same sea-lanes are a vital military artery as the U.S. The geopolitical message was unmistakable: Western expectations that China was transitioning toward political democracy were entirely illusory. These actions suggest that China might undermine freedom of navigation and overflight, principles of fundamental importance to the United States. Yet, it was and is all of that. The United States should continue to prioritize military presence in the Asia-Pacific at the same time as it invests in key capabilities, such as long-range precision strike, undersea warfare, cyber/space systems, and other capabilities that will preserve the U.S. ability to deter Chinese aggression. Hence, the importance of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. The U.S. military used Utapao for refueling efforts during operations in Iraq and Afghanistan in the 2000s, as well as for multinational relief efforts after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and April 2015 Nepal earthquake., The U.S.-Thai alliance has also served as a platform for important training exercises. Total fish stocks have been depleted by 70 to 95 percent since the 1950s. With the incoming administration likely to grapple early with South China Sea issues, the CSIS Southeast Asia Program, directed by Dr. Amy Searight, worked in collaboration with other Asia colleagues at CSISDr. World. The reaction of the Chinese Foreign Minister was incendiary and revealing. Washingtons relationship with Hanoi will make that more palatable. The area includes several hundred small islands, rocks, and reefs, with the majority located in the Paracel and Spratly Island chains. The United States needs to consider a wider variety of non-military responses to Chinas efforts to control the South China Sea, and more effectively build a local coalition to support these responses. or join us on Facebook. These women are creating climate solutions, One year later: Democracy stands in Ukraine. In 2016, they carried fully one-third of global shipping with an estimated value of $3.4 trillion. This new strategic map of Southeast Asia actually began to take shape during the Bush administration, whichinitially launchedthe effort to move beyond Americas traditional hub-and-spokes alliance model in the Asia-Pacific. The United States has been largely successful at preserving its own freedom of action and deterring outright Chinese aggression in the South China Sea through routine presence operations. Although ultimately unsuccessful in Vietnam, America emerged in a surprisingly advantageous strategic position in Southeast Asia with alliances intact with Thailand and the Philippines and friendly ties with Singapore, Malaysia, and Indonesia. This segment will address American interests. Michael Green, Senior Vice President for Asia and Japan Chair; Dr. Zack Cooper, Fellow, Japan Chair; Bonnie Glaser, Senior Adviser for Asia and Director, China Power Project; Andrew Shearer, Senior Adviser on Asia-Pacific Security; and Greg Poling, Director Asia Maritime Transparency Initiativeto provide the analytical context and some fundamental principles that should guide strategic thinking on South China Sea policy. Pressing Challenges to U.S. Army Acquisition: A Conversation with Hon. A U.S. Navy crewman aboard a P-8A Poseidon surveillance aircraft views a computer screen purportedly showing Chinese construction on the reclaimed land of Fiery Cross Reef in the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea in this still image from video provided by the United States Navy May 21, 2015. The message will be clear; the era of American international leadership and predominance is over and a new preeminent power has taken its place. 2009 China issues two diplomatic notes that appear to claim a majority of the South China Sea. the South China Sea in all scenarios short of war with the United States." Chinese control of the SCS-and, more generally, Chinese domination of China's near-seas region, meaning the SCS, the East China Sea (ECS), and the Yellow Sea-could substantially aect U.S. strategic, political, and economic interests in the Indo-Pacic region and . You can update your choices at any time in your settings. In practice, Thailand may be neutral in the regions great power fissures into the next decade. Vietnam already flies modern Russian fighter jets and is expecting delivery this year of its sixth and final Kilo-class submarinesubmarines so quiet that the U.S. Navy refers to them as black holes. If the Chinese Navy wants to have its way in the South China Sea, it will have to dedicate resources to tracking those subs, a task with which the PLAN has limited experience. China, for example, has asserted a maritime claim to a large majority of the South China Sea that is not consistent with international law. TheSouth China Seais one of the most important economic and environmental regions in the world. The South China Sea contains some of the world's most important shipping lanes. Walter Lohman hasdescribedCobra Gold as an achievement that has proved useful for military missions, such as joint patrols of vital sea lanes, and noncombat missions, such as disaster relief following the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and the 2008 Cyclone Nargis in Burma.. Chinas rising military power and political influence is generating anxiety and suspicion among some of its neighbours and western powers. The message will be clear; the era of American international leadership and predominance is over and a new preeminent power has taken its place. The Tribunal rejects Chinas maritime claims that go beyond the entitlements set out in the Law of the Sea Convention.
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