A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Then it smashed that record. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. All rights reserved. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. One daily temperature record was set. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. Precipitation: Equal chances use the map provided below. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. When Does It End? The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Best for planning. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. This ranks as the 55th wettestOctober on record, tied with 1941. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. Take control of your data. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. Here are some of the monthly rainfall highlights during 2022: Rainfall totals across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 6"-13" across the metro area with significantly higher totals in the surrounding mountains. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". the . How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. US Dept of Commerce However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. What are some fun things to do in the winter in Arizona? It begins just at the backend. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. ajgarrison - Flickr You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! NWS CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. Equal chances use the map provided below. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV.